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Valuation Sensitivity

Builds one-variable and two-variable direct-capitalization sensitivity tables showing how value moves as the cap rate and NOI change. Inputs are the base NOI, the base cap rate, and the step sizes for each variable.

Interactive Tool

Valuation Sensitivity

Base NOI
Base cap rate
Cap-rate step
NOI step

One-variable, value by cap rate (NOI fixed at $1,650,000)

Cap RateIndicated ValueChange vs. Base
5.00%$33,000,000+10.0%
5.25%$31,428,571+4.8%
5.50% (base)$30,000,000Base
5.75%$28,695,652-4.3%
6.00%$27,500,000-8.3%
6.25%$26,400,000-12.0%
6.50%$25,384,615-15.4%

Two-variable, value by NOI × cap rate

Cap \ NOI$1.6M$1.6M$1.6M$1.7M$1.8M
5.25%$29.5M$30.5M$31.4M$32.4M$33.3M
5.50%$28.2M$29.1M$30.0M$30.9M$31.8M
5.75%$27.0M$27.8M$28.7M$29.6M$30.4M
6.00%$25.8M$26.7M$27.5M$28.3M$29.2M
6.25%$24.8M$25.6M$26.4M$27.2M$28.0M

Base case

$30,000,000

5.50% · $1,650,000

Low corner

$24.8M

high cap, low NOI

High corner

$33.3M

low cap, high NOI

The full grid spans $24.8M to $33.3M, a $8.5M range. That is not a model error; it is an honest picture of how two uncertain inputs drive value.

Learn the concept

This calculator comes from the free Real Estate Finance course, where the concept is taught with readings, worked examples, and practice questions.

Open Real Estate Finance

Built by Devon Coombs, CPA, MBA, Teaching Professor of Finance at Santa Clara University.